Palaszczuk on track for victory: poll

Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk and LNP leader Tim Nicholls are heading into the last day of the election campaigns.

Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk poses for a photo with Ruby the koala during a visit to Australia Zoo in Beerwah, on the Sunshine Coast

Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk poses for a photo with Ruby the koala during a visit to Australia Zoo in Beerwah, on the Sunshine Coast Source: AAP

Queensland's Labor government could be returned with a majority, a new poll shows, as the premier and opposition leader make a final push to woo undecided voters.

Labor leads the Liberal National Party 52 per cent to 48 per cent in two-party preferred terms, the Courier Mail Galaxy poll published on Friday shows.

However, polling of voters in the Queensland's southeast corner - which holds two-thirds of the state's 93 electorates - points to a clearer lead for Premier Annastacia Palasczczuk's government.

The breakdown shows that on a two-party preferred basis Labor leads the LNP 54 per cent to 46 per cent.

This could give Labor the 47 seats it needs to form a majority government after Saturday's election, according to the poll of 1500 voters published by News Corp.

On Friday, Ms Palaszczuk will be in Brisbane to address the Queensland Media Club.
The Queensland state election will be a turning point for One Nation.

But whether it shows Pauline Hanson's party is in a death dive or its stocks are on the rise is yet to be seen.

The death dive theory has the edge.

Senator Hanson was caught by surprise by Ms Palaszczuk's decision to call a November 25 poll.

She was heading to India on a parliamentary delegation when she heard the news.

One Nation was forced to field fewer candidates and its campaign was not as organised as it could have been.

Senator Hanson returned to the Sunshine State and took to the hustings - after a champagne launch - in the "Battler Bus".

But troubles with the vehicle put the campaign behind schedule.

Her party's state leader, Steve Dickson, has been kept busy trying to sandbag his own Sunshine Coast seat.

The federal wheels fell off the campaign when Senator Hanson had a falling out with new Senator Fraser Anning who quit the party shortly after being sworn in.

On his first day in Canberra, Senator Anning - who replaced Malcolm Roberts after he lost his seat due to dual citizenship issues - and Hanson had a party room spat over staffing.

A Galaxy poll for News Corp found two out of five Queenslanders were less likely to support One Nation after the split.

Voters will remember what happened after the 1998 state election at which One Nation took 11 seats. Within 12 months the party had disintegrated.

One Nation needs to pick up state seats in Senator Hanson's home state if it is to survive nationally.

Polling in the final week of the campaign puts its statewide support around 17 per cent.

But there are pockets of stronger support in north Queensland seats such as Thuringowa, Whitsunday and Hinchinbrook, as well as the southern seats of Lockyer and Bundaberg.

A solid showing could give One Nation a foot in the door for the next federal election in seats such as Herbert, Dawson, Wright, Flynn, Hinkler and Blair, as well as the Senate.

Senator Hanson, who witnessed a car-wreck of a campaign at the West Australian election but still picked up seats, says she would be happy winning one seat in Queensland.

There are benefits in a weakened One Nation for Malcolm Turnbull, as he seeks to restore his own stocks.

It will give the coalition a better chance of bolstering its numbers in the Senate.

And it will raise hopes that LNP members in regional seats will be able to see off future challenges from the minor party.

However, undermining that is the LNP's preferencing of One Nation in 49 seats and reluctance not to reject a possible minority government deal.

A poor result for Senator Hanson will underline the belief that One Nation is a lightning rod for a minority of disgruntled voters - not a political party with which a stable government can or should ever be formed.

Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls will traverse nine electorates in the state's southeast corner in a final bid to rally support for LNP candidates.

Both leaders are expected to face questions on how they will pay for billions of dollars worth of campaign promises and their debt strategies, a day after their party campaign costings were released.

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4 min read
Published 24 November 2017 6:00am
Updated 24 November 2017 7:11am


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