Why Austria's chancellor is quitting, and how it could push the country further to the right

Talks between the country's two main centrist parties about forming a coalition government with the far-right Freedom Party have fallen apart. Here's how things got to this point, and what could happen next.

A man in a blue suit, white shirt and blue tie standing in front of trees.

Karl Nehammer has been chancellor of Austria from 2021 up until now. Source: AAP, DPA / Sven Hoppe

Talks between Austria's two main centrist parties on forming a coalition government without the far-right Freedom Party (FPO) have collapsed, prompting conservative Chancellor Karl Nehammer of the conservative People's Party (OVP) to announce he will step down.

A day earlier, a third party, the liberal NEOS, walked away from the talks, blaming the other parties for failing to take the bold and decisive action it had called for.

"I will stand down as chancellor and as leader of the People's Party in the coming days and enable an orderly transition," Nehammer said in a video statement on social media platform X, after talks with the Social Democrats (SPO).

The collapse of the talks three months after September's parliamentary election underscores the growing difficulty of forming stable governments in European countries, such as Germany and France, where the , but many parties are loath to partner with them.

The eurosceptic, Russia-friendly FPO won that election with roughly 29 per cent of the vote.

It would have needed a coalition partner to govern, but Nehammer ruled out governing with FPO leader Herbert Kickl, meaning no potential coalition partner for the FPO was forthcoming.
A man in a suit speaks into a microphone. He is surrounded by happy people. Some are holding up small blue signs reading danke.
Herbert Kickl (centre) is the head of Austria's far-right Freedom Party, who won the September election with 29 per cent of the vote. Source: AAP, EPA / Filip Singer
Nehammer's OVP came second with 26 per cent, while the centre-left SPO gained 21 per cent in September.

That led Nehammer to pursue talks with the SPO and NEOS, who got 9 per cent, to form a government to shut out the far right, but those three-way talks collapsed on Friday.

The remaining two parties had vowed to continue their work, but after just one day Nehammer announced on X that "agreement with the SPO is not possible on key issues" and that his party was "therefore ending negotiations".

Wealth and inheritance taxes, pensions as well as different views on how to reign in the country's ballooning budget deficit have been cited as the main sticking points in the coalition talks.

What happens now?

Now that Nehammer is stepping down, the two most likely options are either that Kickl is tasked with forming a government or a snap election is called.

Nehammer has described Kickl as too much of a conspiracy theorist to lead a government, but Kickl's party overlaps with Nehammer's on issues such as immigration.

The leadership of Nehammer's OVP was due to meet on Sunday morning to discuss who should succeed him.

Whoever takes over is likely to be more open to a coalition with the FPO, which a large portion of the OVP favours.

The two parties governed in coalition under OVP leadership from 2017 until 2019, when the FPO's then-leader was felled by a video-sting scandal, and that coalition collapsed.

Support for the FPO has grown since the last election. It holds a lead of more than 10 points over the People's Party and the SPO, opinion polls show.
A man in a blue suit, white shirt and blue tie waving his hands and speaking at a microphone.
Karl Nehammer had been tasked with forming a government by Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen. Source: AAP, AP / Heinz-Peter Bader
That poses a dilemma for Australian President Van der Bellen, who has expressed reservations about Kickl becoming chancellor.

Van der Bellen had initially tasked the conservatives with forming a stable coalition government that respects the "foundations of our liberal democracy".

SPO leader Andreas Babler confirmed at a news conference that the talks had collapsed, blaming Nehammer's party for seeking to skimp on pensions and salaries for teachers and police officers.

Nehammer blamed the SPO for insisting on taxing wealth and inheritance, the SPO's flagship campaign policy.

"We know what threatens to happen now. An FPO-OVP government with a right-wing extremist chancellor that will endanger our democracy on many points," Babler said.
Kickl, who has consistently railed against the coalition talks and Van der Bellen's decision not to task him with forming a government, again likened those talks to the three-party "traffic-light coalition" in Germany which recently collapsed.

"Nehammer, Babler and Van der Bellen have also failed. They were the architects of the loser traffic light (coalition) and are now confronted with the ruins of their Kickl prevention strategy," Kickl said in a statement.

"Alexander Van der Bellen bears a significant share of the responsibility for the chaos that has arisen and the time that has been lost ... After today's events, he is under pressure to act."

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4 min read
Published 5 January 2025 12:24pm
Updated 5 January 2025 1:49pm
Source: AAP, AFP


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